SmallDog’s Super Gambling Station

2021 Record: 97-119
Yesterday Record: 4-5 (-1.12u)
SDSGS Record: 47-50 (+4.45u)
Futures Record: 2-12 (-3.75u)

Yesterday was a crazy one. Somehow a fight card that was supposed to be K.O. city, ended up in being a bunch of fights going to the judge’s decision. Regardless, we move on to what looks to be a great NFL Sunday. A lot of good games and storylines. I’m ready to win some money and so should you. Let’s go.

Texans +5.5 @ Miami
On paper, this should be a gross match. Two of the worst teams going at it, but I am pretty excited to watch it. I think it’s going to be a pretty close game, especially with the return of Tyrod Taylor. People forget Taylor is undefeated when he starts and plays the whole game this season. Taylor is going to make an instant difference in his return and keep this game close in Miami.

Bills/Jaguars Over 48.5
When I saw this over I felt pretty confident that it was going to hit. The Bills have one of the best offenses and will be going against a defense like the Jaguars. Josh Allen is going to light up this Jags defense and will score a shit ton of points. I also don’t hate the Jag’s offense as Lawrence will have a pretty solid game against the Bills today. 

Chargers PK @ Philadelphia 
This is a must-win for L.A. Two big losses in their last two games, I don’t think it’s crazy to say their season is on the line. They must beat this Philly team who has a weak offense and a defense you can run all over. 

Packers +7 @ Kansas City
I am going with the mindset that I had the last Chiefs game, the Chiefs are not that good of a football team. I know Jordan Love is getting his first action as a starter today, but I have trust that the Packers will be able to keep it close. Until Mahomes and the Chiefs prove otherwise, they are no longer a team that can win by more than one touchdown. 

Titans/Rams Over 52.5
This is going to be an awesome game because of how many touchdowns will be scored. The Rams have one of the best offenses in the NFL and will take advantage of the defense is giving up the eighth-most passing yards per game. Matt Stafford is going to look awesome on primetime as he and the Rams will be the team scoring most of the points in this over. 

Knicks -7 V. Cavaliers
The Knicks are finally home and after getting their biggest win of the season so far on Friday, they are looking for another. This Cavs team has a good young core, but the Knicks are a lot better on paper and will show that off with a double-digit win at the Garden.

Hornets/Clippers Over 224
The last time I bet against a Hornets over I lost by a lot. I have now learned my lesson as they have a very good offense and a very bad defense. They will score points, but their opponents will also score a lot of points because of how bad their defense is. The Hornets are 7-3 on overs this season and I see this game being another one where the over hits.

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